NFL Week 6 Picks: This Whacky Game

Last week’s roll call was an easy one straight up; all you really had to do was pick mostly the Vegas favorites and you could have run a dozen correct picks easy. I came in at 13-2 with my only miscalls being Detroit’s unlikely meltdown and New England’s epic exorcism.

In a season that has otherwise been a temporal storm of uncertainty, that was one easy lineup of games to wrap your head around.

Now let’s get back to the TUFF STUFF.

Colts at Texans
The most impressive thing about Indy’s win against Baltimore this past weekend was how energetic and active they were on defense giving Joe Flacco fits all day. Elite talent or not, playing active defense is a recipe for success; just ask Peyton or Tony Dungy about Super Bowl XLI. This defense reminds me of that unit. The Texans, overall, have a top flight defense for sure but they are not that good against the run and not good enough against the pass to matter with Luck chuckin’ it around the way he has all season. I don’t like Fitzpatrick to keep up with Luck tossing five TDs or something ridiculous like that as the game wears on. Unless the Texans jump out to a very quick and big early lead, this one is a lock.

Bears at Falcons
The Bears are such a statistical nightmare to evaluate. They are practically league average in every efficiency cat across the board whether it be offensively or defensively, in the box or in the secondary. Strangely, they just keep losing games and won two questionable ones and could very easily have a much worse record. Now they go on the road to play a Falcons team that is completely different at home in a must-win situation. Not that they’re any good but the Falcons will do what the Packers did and outscore them faster on the way to a victory.

Patriots at Bills
One of the contenders for Game of the Week. As much as I would like to call for a letdown by the Pats after their statement game on Sunday night and pick the Bills and their elite defense at home, I don’t trust Kyle Orton. He got away posting a nice stat line while playing a mediocre game because of the volume. Still, to be fair, he gave Buffalo a slightly better chance than EJ had been and for that, you gotta give him credit. I think the Patriots are going to harass him to no end. And if rediscovering the dual TE scheme is working for Brady, that might be enough to outscore the Bills readily on the road in a key AFC East battle between two 3-2 rivals.

Panthers at Bengals
Whatever you want to say about these two teams, here is something that must be said: these are two defenses that are in need of showing up big this week. I believe they both do meaning this will be a sludgy, grungy low scoring affair. With AJ Green hobbled or out entirely, the Bengals are going to pound the rock with Gio and Hill against a Panthers team that has looked susceptible to the ground game. The Bengals’ D will have much to prove after getting smacked by the Patriots. Fortunately for them, they don’t have to worry about Carolina’s rushing (fortunate because that is Cincy’s biggest weakness defensively) since they have about one and a half healthy bodies back there. If Cam is forced to catch up through the air on the road, it may be a long afternoon. Or Superman, I dunno.

Steelers at Browns
The AFC North is really tight and at the bottom of the division are the 2-2 Cleveland Browns, a team that maybe ought to be 3-1 or maybe even 4-0 right now were it not for a last second meltdown/FG against division rival Baltimore and a really sluggish start to the season against these same Steelers a month ago. In fact, the Browns have won or lost all four of their games by less than 3 points! Which means they’re just as likely to be 1-3 or even 0-4! Hahaha this whacky game that we love. Anyway. I love what the Browns are doing this year and can’t wait until they get their full roster but they are going to get shredded in the air by Big Ben who, along with Antonio Brown’s epic season, has been a monster. The Browns are fortunate to have an offense that can clearly move the chains when it needs to (and that did storm back on the Steelers in Pittsburgh before falling just short). But I just don’t know if they can hold them under 30 with an already tore up secondary now also missing CB Joe Haden.

Jags at Titans
While the Titans have a win on their season and the Jags are winless, these are two teams with significantly different outlooks. The Jags are clearly going through growing pains but have an exciting young QB throwing the ball to a couple of exciting young athletic receivers. Their run game leaves a lot to be desired and their defense has been getting wrecked but they showed a little life last week. This week they visit a Titans team that is in such disarray, it is hard to figure out how they got there. More and more it is starting to seem like their week 1 triumph over the Chiefs who have since then improved in all areas was fluky at best and that this team is more or less the team that hasn’t been able to win since (and looked like shit while at it). They have an irregular commitment to the run game which isn’t doing well anyway and can’t keep their starting QB on the field. That is a recipe for disaster. And what is more disastrous than the Jags getting their first win against you in your own house?

Packers at Dolphins
The Dolphins certainly had plenty of time to prepare for the Packers with the bye and all. They’re also at home this week. And it still won’t matter a whole lot. The Packers are coming in scoring points unhindered, have rediscovered their run game and despite giving up a lot of yards defensively, also force an impressive amount of turnovers (tied for tops in the league). Tannehill does make mistakes from time to time and I think the Packers dictate the tempo of the game, force aforementioned mistakes and ultimately outscore the Phins. By a lot.

Lions at Vikings
There is a real temptation here to roll with the home team. Minnesota is getting Teddy Bridgewater back in action and that instantly boosts this offense’s value to around where it was when it shredded Atlanta en route to that beatdown. The Lions defense surely is not the Falcons defense … but there’s something seriously wrong with the Lions offense and that may very well be the determining factor of this game. They weren’t able to put up all that much in the way of points against Buffalo although Buffalo sports a pretty snazzy defense themselves. Still there has to be concern about a team without Megatron, without a healthy Reggie Bush and with a struggling Matt Stafford. Expect the Vikings to finally get Patterson and Wright going at the same time and more semblance of a running game than they showed last week. If they can score points against Detroit’s defense at home in Minny, look for the Vikes to win.

Broncos at Jets
What can we say here? Yeah, yeah, Any Given Sunday, That’s Why They Play the Games, These Are All Pros… should I dig up anymore antiquated NFL clichés to describe the 2% chance the Jets pull off this upset at home? They’d have to break Peyton’s neck in half for that to ever happen. The Jets can stop anybody’s run game… but what if they are playing a team that doesn’t even run the ball because they have Peyton and his fifty good-to-great receivers? Why am I still typing?

Ravens at Bucs
I was thinking about this one for some time. The Ravens are heavy favorites in terms of being picked to win no matter the line. They are one of the most solid teams in the league, no doubt. And yet I am still rolling with the Bucs at home. They have looked entirely different the past two weeks and barely lost in OT against an absolutely desperate Saints team. Fact of the matter is the Bucs are headed back to Tampa for the first time in nearly a month, are likely to play much stauncher defense at home and will square off with a Ravens team playing their second road game in a row. That is a recipe for a monumental upset. And don’t forget; these same Bucs pulled an equally impressive upset of the Steelers just a couple weeks ago. Roll em.

Chargers at Raiders
Should I be the only not-completely-insane person to pick the Raiders here? After all, you’ve got a home game coming off a bye against a divisional rival that you have played tough in other purported lopsided matchups in the past. A game against a team that has been on such a profoundly good roll, it is almost inevitable that they are overdue for the sort of clunker that a team like the Raiders can take advantage of. There’s also this whole new coach thing and the ball he buried. You know, this is the perfect game for the Raiders to stomp the Chargers. You know… that game that I will be rolling Saturday Night on Madden when I play pretend that I am the new head coach/GM of the Oakland Raiders. Utterly STOMP.

Redskins at Cardinals
Kirk Cousins and the Redskins looked much better last week against the top defense in the league than they did against the rival Giants the week before. It just didn’t matter because they were utterly outmatched. That said, they have a far more manageable match up this week against a team that is just riddled with injuries and missing players. The funny thing is that even with all those injuries, the Cards are good enough defensively, especially against the pass, that it could make all the difference in the world at home. Especially with the Redskins coming to town on a short week. There’s also the matter of Arizona possibly getting Carson Palmer back and that would be a huge boon to an offense that was already finding ways to win with Drew Stanton under center.

Cowboys at Seahawks
A contender for Game of The Week. It has been a nice little roll that the Cowboys have been on. They’ve won games that got out of control for their opponents and they won games that were close and tenuous. Impressive thus far, the Cowboys travel to the toughest place to play in the league to play against the best team in the NFC and possibly still the best team in the entire NFL. Unfortunately, this is where their run temporarily ends. I just don’t see them going into Seattle and beating this defense (especially when Dallas’ bread and butter these days is running the rock with Demarco Murray and the Hawks are now one of the better run D’s around) let alone being able to stop Russell Wilson who right now looks to be about as dominant a QB as you can be without spending a majority of your time in the pocket. Wilson makes throws that don’t make any sense given where he is and where the play is. The Redskins found out the hard way that the guy has about 50 eyes and they are all over the STADIUM let alone anywhere on his head. And Marshawn Lynch is probably the best overall running back of the past half a decade. Nice run but no dice this week, Dallas.

Giants at Eagles
This will be fun. Another contender for Game of The Week (I should have just titled this blog entry GAME OF THE WEEK, amirite?). Most of the nation is split 50-50 on the outcome of this one; that goes to show you just how unpredictable this game will be. That said, common wisdom suggests that in such a push, the home team is the one that has the ever so slight edge and while I am normally inclined to give that notion tread, these are two teams giving me entirely different impressions right now. The Giants look confident, dialed in and able to beat you with a suddenly reliable and balanced offense. Even without Jennings running the rock, rookie Andre Williams has looked strong and bruising bludgeoning in between the tackles in his stead. The return of Odell Beckham Jr. and the emergence of Larry Donnell gives Eli Manning four legitimate weapons in the passing game with which to rip apart a porous Eagles defense. On the flip side, the Eagles are an interesting dichotomy. While it is impressive that they have been scoring in a bunch of different ways, the fact they aren’t scoring consistently on offense is alarming. Even though they finally got LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles a lot of meaningful touches and they moved the chains a bit, neither scored… leaving the Eagles to build a large lead on blocked kicks and turnovers. While that works against crappy teams, these are not reliable ways to beat good teams. Home team or not, I expect the Giants to go all BIG BLUE on the Eagles and their cute little all black unis they plan on rollin’ out on Sunday.

Niners at Rams
This is one game the Rams won’t be able to climb back into if they fall behind big early on. Unlike the Eagles, the Niners will collect turnovers like Disneyland Pins. Good running football teams are great road teams because they can quiet the crowd and control the tempo by pounding the rock. The Niners, now that they’ve returned to their rushing strengths, are that kind of team and I expect them to control the game, harass Austin Davis and put up a healthy amount of points on the road on the way to a 4-2 record. Lock it up.

Dig it


Week 6 NFL Power Rankings

We’ve got some movers and shakers!

Let’s go.

  1. San Diego Chargers –Well, why the hell not. Owners of the best point differential (and share of record) in the league, the only real knock here is that they have played a soft schedule (the win over Seattle notwithstanding) that fortuitously now takes them to Oakland.
  2. Seattle Seahawks –That was a clinical dismantling of Washington although it should have been a much bigger day for the Hawks. They have serious penalty issues… but then again, they won the Super Bowl as the most heavily penalized team in the league so…
  3. Denver Broncos –They just keep rolling. There’s utterly no reason to doubt that they’ll keep this pace en route to another playoff run; just that they better hope they do because the Chargers don’t seem at all in a hurry to give back the AFC West.
  4. Cincinnati Bengals – I would be inclined to dump them even further for the stinker they put up against New England but let’s face it, Belichick and Brady were going to bounce back, the game was in Foxborough and the Bengal receivers were guilty of uncharacteristic drops that completely changed the timbre of the game early on. They, too, will bounce back.
  5. Indianapolis Colts – Andrew Luck is locked-in… in a really scary way for any secondary on their schedule. Very much the early MVP favorite. Oh, and Indy’s defense suddenly looks SOLID.
  6. Dallas Cowboys –Finding ways to win in spite of struggling to move the rock against quality defenses is the sign of a team that is learning to win games where they normally would have lost them before. Told ya the boys were for real.
  7. San Francisco 49ers –The Niners are also finding ways to win despite an uncharacteristically porous (temporarily, of course) defense and some questionable mental lapses. They are running the ball well now and seem to be set to keep up with the Hawks and Cards while they wait for much-needed reinforcements. Furthermore, as their MLB counterparts the Giants are showing, this is one of those teams that only needs to get to the postseason to make a run.
  8. Green Bay Packers –The Pack is back. The surprising thing about their defense is that while they give up a ton of yards and will concede points, they also force a ton of turnovers. And they keep scoring points in buckets so, yeah, the Pack is Back.
  9. Detroit Lions – The problem for the Lions is that while they have vastly improved on defense this season, it has come at the expense of their offense. Unreliable placekicking is one thing; not being able to move the ball without Megatron is a much more serious issue.
  10. Arizona Cardinals –The bad news for the Cards is that their injury woes continue to plague them. The good news is they may finally be getting Palmer back. A point differential of 0 is kind of alarming, though…
  11. New York Giants –The Giants are rolling now that Eli has really got a handle on this offense and its quick fire tempo. Losing Jennings to an injury hurts but Williams looks mighty capable. Getting the rookie ODB at this point in the season seems stupid fortuitous for a team already finding its passing game. The NFC East just got all the more interesting.
  12. Philadelphia Eagles –I’m unimpressed. They are giving up an unnaturally high number of points for a 4-1 team and have a stalled offense. They’re scoring points in all sorts of ways, none of which are reliable. Which isn’t sustainable. And why they aren’t in my top ten. Sidenote: they did get their running game goin’ a little better last week but they need production from there.
  13. Baltimore Ravens –A tough loss last week on the road against a suddenly rejuvenated Colts defense that frustrated them to no end slips them down to 13. They are running the ball well enough given there’s no lead horse in the stable but will need more consistency from there to sustain their season.
  14. Buffalo Bills – The Bills switch out QBs and win in Detroit? No idea how that happens (ok, I do have an idea but still) and with that they find themselves, at least tentatively, in first place. Strong defense (third best overall efficiency in the league) has been their foundation. I just don’t know when the other shoe clunks for Kyle Orton.
  15. Houston Texans –The Texans really hung tough with Dallas and for a moment looked set up to win the game. They still are playing the kind of defense that masks just how unreliable Fitzpatrick is but one wonders how long that will last.
  16. New England Patriots –Guess Tom isn’t done afterall. Games like this past SNF ought to be taken with the same grain of salt that the previous MNF game ought to have. The Patriots weren’t that good and the Bengals weren’t that bad. But it is clear the Patriots have identified their problems and are well on their way to fixing them.
  17. Carolina Panthers – That was a very nice comeback win. It’s good enough to bump them up this far. The defense still doesn’t seem right but Cam is finding ways to win even without any manner of rushing threat. If they ever get that going, they’ll start firing up this list.
  18. Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs looked good early on against the Niners and then got completely shut down the rest of the way. They should have had a bigger day and were it not for some bonehead work down the stretch, may have actually won that game. That boneheadedness also includes Andy Reid.
  19. Pittsburgh Steelers –The Steelers do not look reliable. They give up as many points as they score and while it isn’t a lot either way, it makes for dramatic, unpredictable game. Not due to Big Ben, though. He has been one of the better slingers this season.
  20. Atlanta Falcons –This team keeps fading and doing it fast. Their defense is just so empty at times, it feels like opposing WRs are always sitting in open space. The Falcons are really awful on the road too and until that changes, they are not going to make any noise.
  21. Cleveland Browns – Another great comeback by Hoyer and company. But when will this team realize that they can start scoring earlier in the game so they don’t have to shorten their head coach’s lifespan? Their defense is still an issue but they are close to turning a corner in what is now a very competitive AFC North (where all four teams lie separated by a single win).
  22. New Orleans Saints –The issue with the Saints lies strictly in the one place we are not accustomed to look at for trouble; quarterback. Brees’ throws look to be significantly missing some zip and there is even some uncharacteristic accuracy issues. Mark Ingram will be back soon which should help but the Saints are not the Saints of recent memory. Losing Jarius Byrd sucks.
  23. Minnesota Vikings –The Vikings are having some serious issues on offense. Granted, Christian Ponder has never been a banger but there was utterly no rhythm or fluidity to that offense and for all of Norv Turner’s profound offensive brilliance, he can’t seem to utilize his most powerful asset in Cordarelle Patterson. And it doesn’t get easier for them…
  24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – This team is hot all of a sudden lol They lost to the Saints in OT but there is no denying it, the Bucs are a much better looking team with Glennon under center. As their defense improves, they’ll be a tough out the rest of the way.
  25. Chicago Bears – I’ve been saying it and I will continue to do so; don’t be fooled by what you remember about these guys… they’re just not that good. They still can’t utilize Forte effectively, Cutler still makes way too many mistakes (and suddenly has no deep ball) and there’s no answer to their defensive issues. Kyle Fuller is nice but the rest of this defense may as well not play. Oh wait, they already don’t.
  26. Washington Redskins – Kirk Cousins was decent enough against the best defense in the league to have put up some points in what seemed like a close game if you were only looking at the boxscore. But the Hawks should have had way more points. The Redskins are still not there yet.
  27. Miami Dolphins – There is only one way to know if this team didn’t just look good because they beat up on the Raiders. They will have to look competitive against the vastly improving Packers. Knowshon Moreno may be back.
  28. Tennessee Titans – The nosedive continues for the Titans. I always thought of Wisenhunt as a solid NFL coach but I’m starting to wonder about that. Not only did he abandon the run in the second half in favor of having Charlie Whitehurst chuckin it with an 18 point halftime lead, he still won’t run the rock with Bishop Sankey even after acknowledging that he should. The Titans look terrible.
  29. St. Louis Rams – How they were able to climb back into an Eagles blowout has less to do with Austin Davis and Brian Quick and a lot more to do with Philly and their ineptitude. The Rams still can’t hit the QB for nothing and injuries to their running game is going to hinder what little offense they were able to muster up to this point.
  30. New York Jets – In a lot of ways, they are the worst team in football. If it weren’t for Chris Ivory being a monster and their run defense possibly being the most elite unit in the nation, this is a worthless team rife with drama. Both the Jags and Raiders have better Quarterbacking with young, exciting rookies. The Jets? Just look at their last boxscore. It’s really a mess.
  31. Jacksonville Jaguars – The Jags were able to finally get some defense going for the first time this season. That is an excellent sign. In fact, they are in a position right now to win their first game of the season and get out from behind some of these other putrid teams (Titans, Rams, Jets) on the ranking.
  32. Oakland Raiders – This is where they are right now. There’s a decent chance they can turn things around and look competitive the rest of the way. The weird thing is their overall defensive efficiency has been better than half the league including being among the league leading units in tackles for a loss. They are also surprisingly among the best in red zone defense as well (they give up soulcrushing big plays on the reg, instead). Offensively, while they’ve been putrid at moving the ball (they are the second worst at rushing the ball and the only reason the Chargers are worse is because they have only one healthy back and a red-hot QB so there’s no reason to run it) and just as horrible at scoring in the red zone, they are among the league leaders in not being tackled for a loss and amongst the best at not committing penalties lol The Raiders are one of the most disciplined teams in the NFL! If they are able to start moving the chains and scoring points, they won’t be half-bad. *drops mic to floor*

Dig it.

NFL Week 5 Picks: What a Comeback Looks/Smells/Tastes/Sounds/Feeeels Like…

Just getting warmed up.

Even with a couple of 8-8 duds to start the season, I am at 36-25 overall in my office pool so I’m coming in at just about the same clip as a majority of the nation. But I don’t intend on being average…

Time is of the short variety this week so let’s get straight to them.


Vikings at Packers
The Vikes surprised everyone last week by running shod over and through the Atlanta Falcons defense. But that game was at home. Teddy Bridgewater is gonna try and go all banged up on a short week visiting the Pack at Lambeau. He will likely have to rely heavily on the run game which at this point is the plodding, uninspiring Matt Asiata and the explosive yet unproven rookie Jerick McKinnon. All the while trying to keep up with A Rod and company. Too much firepower on that offense to keep up with them for four quarters. Packers run away with it eventually.

Texans at Cowboys
The Battle for Texas between a couple of 3-1 teams is going to come down to an utter bloodbath. The Cowboys have been one of the best teams in football on both sides of the ball and are going to be at home in a statement game. The Texans have been playing a little over their heads and have had some soft match ups. This week is maybe a bit too big a test for Fitzpatrick and company to overcome.

Bills at Lions
This may have looked like a really exciting match up a few weeks ago when the Bills seemed atop the world. Now with Kyle Orton under center, while they can’t be any worse offensively than they had been the past couple weeks, the Bills are going to have to do business with one of the top three defensive units in the game. On the road. Yuck. Lions win big.

Browns at Titans
The good news for Tennessee is that they are probably getting Locker back and are planning on running the ball early and often with underutilized rookie Bishop Sankey. That should open things up a bit for them. The Browns are getting healthy on defense and get their opening day starting RB back which means they now have three quality backs to roll out. The Browns are due for a win especially after the debacle that was the final few minutes of the Ravens game and have had two weeks to prepare for the Titans.

Ravens at Colts
One of the best games this week as we have yet another matchup between 3-1 teams. The Ravens have looked balanced so far this season with much improved offense thanks to Steve Smith Sr. stretching the field for big armed Joe Flacco. Can they keep up with Andrew Luck and the Indy offense on the road? That’ll ultimately be the question. In such a tight contest, one is well served to roll with the home team as I think Luck is nearly unstoppable late in games.

Bucs at Saints
The Bucs stunned the Steelers last week and must be flying high and feeling increasingly confident in running Glennon out there under center. Unfortunately for them, they run into a struggling Saints team at the wrong time. Nobody really knows what’s going on with the Saints which bodes poorly for Tampa. It just looks like a funk. A funk that Brees and company will break out of in a big way at home. Not quite as big as Matty Ice and the birds did but enough to win this one by two scores.

Falcons at Giants
Speaking of the Dirty Birds, they came crashing down to earth last week against the Vikings. Granted, they ran into an underrated defense but there has to be concern about their sieve of a defense. Eli has finally got a handle on things and I feel that keeps clicking, especially in this potential barn burner. Still, I am waiting each week for the Giants defense from late last season to show up. If they do, the Falcons are going to have a hard time on the road (for a second straight week) keeping up with Big Blue in New York on ten days rest.

Rams at Eagles
Eagles will bounce back in a big way this week following not only their first loss but one of the uglier losses you will see. 21 points and not a single one on offense. Philly’s offense is already one of the most explosive units in the game and at home, it is even more so. The Rams have an even tougher defense than San Francisco’s so it is possible they frustrate Foles and company but fortunately for Chip Kelly’s boys, the Rams simply cannot keep up on the scoreboard meaning even if they were to limit the Eagles, they are unlikely to outscore them.

Bears at Panthers
That Panther defense just isn’t what it used to be. They’ve been getting gouged left and right and I don’t see an end to that in sight. Luckily for them, the Bears’ defense is even worse. Cam Newton has been limited and the Carolina run game nearly nonexistent. Still, they are due for a win and are at home and I expect Newton to go off.

Steelers at Jags
This may be Jacksonville’s first winnable opportunity. And it also might be the wrong time to catch an explosive Steeler team on the heels of an embarrassing loss and some bonafide Tomlin rage. The Burgh will be in fine, amped form against the Jags who are on the cusp of getting out the cellar but will have to wait a little while longer to get there.

Cardinals at Broncos
I tried to reason with myself as to how Arizona could come in and take this from Denver on the road but I can’t get over how difficult that would be without Carson Palmer. Hell it would be difficult even with Palmer. The Cards have been one of the more surprising stories this year given all their injury issues but I just don’t see it happening. Peyton and the Broncos have been resting and preparing for this game for two weeks. I get that the Cards are coming off a bye too lol But this is Peyton we are talking about and so in a lot of ways, the Cardinals are doomed because of that alone.

Jets at Chargers
Yikes. A team with a red-hot QB taking on a team that is having some serious problems in their secondary with bad coverage assignments. This is a recipe for a home win for the Chargers who, so far, have looked like one of the top ten teams in the league. The Jets will have to stay very disciplined and not turn the ball over to have any kind of chance in this one on the road.

Chiefs at Niners
Hard to tell what happens here. The Chiefs are clearly coming off a huge win against the Pats in which they showed off their running game, stout defense and up-n-coming star TE. And that was against a decent defense. Well, the Niners showed off a more than decent defense last week in shutting down one of the most explosive offenses in football. That is very much worth noting. This will be a great game especially given the storyline of Alex Smith returning to SF to play Kaepernick and the Niners but I don’t see the road team winning here.

Bengals at Patriots
Oh boy. So everybody is signaling the end of Brady’s career and of the Patriots’ run. That may be just a slight bit overblown. We have simply come to expect too much from them due to a decade of domination, that a 2-2 start is like an 0-4 for most other teams. Monday night’s game has awakened this sleeping giant, trust. The Patriots coming off that loss and heading home to host the de facto best team in football is the perfect recipe for a monumental upset. And it is entirely possible. Except I’m still rollin with the Bengals. Because they are the best team in football and I believe they are licking their chops at an opportunity to prove they are for real by passing this very tough test.

Seahawks at Redskins
After what the Giants defense did to Kirk Cousins, it is really hard to imagine him finding much success against this Seahawks defense even if the game is being played in the nation’s capital. Most weeks, I am not entirely sure what is going on with the Redskins who get away with being the Raiders of the East Coast but are never nearly as blasted for it. They have talent but much less of it than Seattle does. And it is a Monday night game. Hook. Line. SUNK.

On Bye: Oakland (thank god), Miami


Week 5 NFL Power Rankings

Listen, these are the rankings you want to follow… not the overrated, bloat content that the “experts” run out with their heavy pre-season biases and morning cocktails. These are rankings based on how teams are playing… right now.

Let’s go.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals – There is absolutely no reason not to consider them the best team in the NFL right now. Their defense has been lights out, their offense creative and explosive. And they are undefeated in what has become one of the top divisions in the league.
  2. Seattle Seahawks –We don’t do power rankings based on last year’s performance or what we expect of a team pre-season. And therefore the defending champs with all their awesomeness come in 2nd because they lost to the Chargers.
  3. Arizona Cardinals –The only other undefeated team left in the league, the Cards don’t lose a top 3 ranking due to a bye week. The mere fact they have been able to win with Drew Stanton under center and the myriad of injuries they have endured on the defensive side of the ball is proof these guys are for real. Bruce Arians may be the best coach in the league right now.
  4. Detroit Lions –Boom diggity, watch out for the Lions. They, once again, have a high flying and explosive offense that showed this past week can still rip the top off a defense even if Megatron can’t go hard. And the scary thing is that their best feature is now their defense. Possibly the best run D in the game and their pass D is not far behind.
  5. Denver Broncos –There’s little doubt this placement will rub some folks the wrong way but the Broncos have not handily beaten anyone and the competition, while good, hasn’t been stellar. Their toughest game ended in a loss and it looks like Peyton is out there doing it all by himself. Everything is ok so far but that is not sustainable.
  6. Baltimore Ravens –Rankings are hard early on in the year because of the small sample size so it’s difficult to determine whether the 5, 6 and 7 slots can’t be shuffled in some other order but the Ravens have looked like one of the best teams in the NFL. Their only loss was to the beasts from Cincy and have otherwise shown a strong backbone in the face of media distractions and backfield uncertainty. Also, Steve Smith Sr.
  7. Dallas Cowboys –Yeah, they belong here and if you don’t think so, you’re not paying attention. They run the ball better than nearly everyone else, Romo is spreading the ball around and their defense is nothing like the unit they fielded last year. The SNF win over New Orleans is no fluke, neither.
  8. San Diego Chargers –The Chargers weren’t supposed to be this good, neither especially with their ruthless schedule. But whaddya know, they’re 3-1 and aren’t even bothering with running the rock. If the Chargers can get through the Jets and the Raiders the next two weeks with a couple of wins, they get Ryan Mathews back while sitting in first place. WTF.
  9. Philadelphia Eagles –They don’t play good defense and typically don’t start playing until halftime. They were utterly atrocious against the Niners and scored a pathetic 21 first half points off blocked punts and interceptions (tossed by an overrated QB). And their best trait is their offense! Which is so good, it’s good enough for a 9th
  10. Indianapolis Colts – They’re like the Falcons of the AFC except it looks like they might be capable of playing slightly better defense. It really does seem like Andrew Luck is going to throw for 400 and 4 every game. As long as all his weapons stay healthy, there shouldn’t be too many teams that outscore them.
  11. Houston Texans –I didn’t want to give their young season too much tread because their offense is still led by Fitzpatrick and that just doesn’t seem like a good thing. But they are winning games and getting production from their main offensive weapons. Which apparently includes JJ Watt who is probably right now the best overall player in all of football. He’s just simply stupid ridiculous right now. I would like to see them line him up at fullback in goaline situations and have him just bowl through humans.
  12. Green Bay Packers –The Pack are one of those teams that is tough to figure out and whose ranking may be slightly more speculative than others. That said, they still have looked more like a 3-1 team than some of the 3-1 teams. They weren’t going to beat the Hawks in Seattle and they lost a shitshow to an underrated Lions team. The Pack still look and feel like a big time team.
  13. San Francisco 49ers –That was a nice win albeit ugly. Signature win for this team’s rough season start. With all the BS drama floating around, the Niners went, stared down a must-win and won it against a team that had been lighting opponents up offensively. The Niners recommitted to the run and voilà. When they start getting guys back midway through the season, they will start to climb the ranks. Their defense and Kaepernick’s inconsistency keeps them here for now.
  14. Kansas City Chiefs – What did we learn from their epic MNF beatdown? They are pushin’ a formidable defense, an unstoppable running game and Alex Smith tossing the rock to Baby Gronk. To be fair, they haven’t been able to really unleash Jamaal Charles thus far and Alex Smith is trying to do his best with what he has to throw to and so they’re middle of the pack at this point. But from all indication, the combination of a healthy Charles, Knile Davis and Travis Kelce looks like a pretty decent outlook.
  15. New York Giants –Rankings are about trends and the Giants are trending upwards and FAST. Looks like Eli finally got the whole of McAdoo’s playbook down and the rest of the offense is falling into place. Donnell has been a great revelation. Jennings is one of the top backs in the NFL. In a wide open, high scoring NFC East, the Giants look strong. Don’t forget, this defense looked really strong down the stretch last year. Giants may be on to something.
  16. Minnesota Vikings –I know, I know. Somehow and despite all logic, they lose Adrian Peterson and manage to keep putting up monster rushing numbers. Teddy Bridgewater is a clear upgrade at QB over Cassel or Ponder. They have a functioning running back tandem. They’ve unleashed Jarius Wright. Cordarelle Patterson hasn’t even taken off yet. And their defense is real.
  17. Atlanta Falcons –Just when these guys looked like they were atop the world dropping near 60 burgers on the Bucs, they go and get crushed by a Vikings team that wasn’t supposed to be able to run the rock and a rookie QB who wasn’t supposed to assume the reigns just yet. But they just don’t play good defense and especially against the run where they let Matt Asiata look like, well, Adrian Peterson. Matty Ice can sling it and has a million offensive weapons but this team’s defense is a real problem.
  18. Pittsburgh Steelers –The Burgh was higher up before their meltdown against Tampa. Tampa, coming into the week, was my pick for worst team in the NFL and the Steelers utter collapse against them in the waning moments of the game was just pathetic. Still, Antonio Brown looks like possibly the most underrated receiver ever and LeVeon Bell is one of the top backs in the league. The Steelers can score with the best of them but can’t stop anyone from doing the same and combined with their penchant for penalties, offer a very mediocre outlook.
  19. New England Patriots –Their defense hasn’t been half-bad; until MNF. The real issue with the Pats is their offense. The line isn’t what it used to be, Brady seems to be losin some zip and accuracy and his receivers aren’t developing. Gronk and Edelman can’t do it by themselves. Everybody wants to hit the panic button and understandably so. But hold that thought.
  20. Buffalo Bills – It’s hard to figure out what the Bills are all about. Granted, both the Chargers and Texans are underrated and good looking squads right now but their schedule doesn’t get any easier and now that EJ Manuel has been benched, Orton needs to step it up if this team will turn the corner.
  21. Carolina Panthers – Whoa, whoa… whaaaat? Yes, the Panthers have fallen very quickly. They are decimated in the backfield and Cam is banged up and isn’t nearly as dynamic as he’d normally be. This has negated how raw the defense would normally be and how exciting rookie wideout Kelvin Benjamin is. They still have the talent to turn things around but it doesn’t look good.
  22. New Orleans Saints –Don’t look good for these guys either. You always get this feeling that the Saints’ offense is going to get untracked but it seems like Payton’s game has been figured out and he isn’t adjusting it. And so much for upgrading the defense.
  23. Cleveland Browns – I’m gonna go ahead and say it: The Browns have no business being at 23. They should be higher. This team got shafted by the NFL and their stupid drug policy. All three games thus far have been decided by a field goal or less. They are as close to being 3-0 as they are to being 1-2. I’m tellin’ ya, rank 23 is way too low but fair for what they’ve put up.
  24. New York Jets – The Jets have been on the unfortunate side of Geno Smith’s continuing growing pains or otherwise would be at the very worst, 2-2 (all three of their losses have been by one score and considering how many picks Geno has thrown, that’s an amazing stat). They outplayed the Bears, and while they probably weren’t going to beat the Pack or the Lions, they showed they were right there in a position to compete. Their secondary is just a mess though.
  25. Chicago Bears – The Bears are really hard to peg but they had no business beating the Niners on the road and would have lost the Jets game had anyone else been playing QB for New York. Their defense gets shredded every week and while they look strong on offense, they haven’t gone off just yet and it’s mostly because of Forte’s lack of involvement. Good news for the Bears, they got him involved albeit in a losing effort to the Packers. To me, they’re bearly not an 0-4 team.
  26. Miami Dolphins – This team is a mess. In fact, the only team that could make them look good was the one they absolutely trounced in London. Tannehill survives another week but they come out of the bye with back to back offensive juggernauts that won’t be as accommodating as the Raiders. They’ll be 2-4 before you know it.
  27. Washington Redskins – Kirk Cousins doesn’t look like the answer to all their problems. He is probably still better for this Jay Gruden offense than RG3 is but Cousins looked awful staring down his receivers en route to a four pick night. The Redskins make no sense.  They have all the weapons in the world, a serviceable defense and a smart, young coach. And they’re still a dumpster fire at the bottom of the East.
  28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Speaking of dumpster fires. Whatever happened against the Steelers is mostly Pittsburgh’s fault. It was nice to see Tampa play better defense finally (something we expected with all their studs and Lovie Smith coaching them) but Glennon is going to give us both good times and bad times for at least the duration of this season. But it can’t get any worse. So begins their steady rise up the rankings.
  29. Louis Rams – Unsure what to make of these guys except that their offense is putrid. They won a game they really didn’t have any business winning with a guy who was on the practice squad earlier in the day but that’s just how it goes, sometimes. Their defense will keep some games close but their vaunted defensive line hasn’t done nearly as much damage or terrorized any QBs this season and that won’t get them much higher than 29thany time soon.
  30. Tennessee Titans – The season started off so promising for Tennessee. Since their solid 26-10 beatdown of the Chiefs, they’ve scored 35 points in three games. They have no idea what they’re doing with their run game and they have receivers walking their routes. Charlie Whitehurst started at QB because Locker is hurt. Again.
  31. Jacksonville Jaguars – The future is actually kind bright-ish in JAX. Bortles is a beast. He’s a rookie but a beast. The game against SD proved just that. He’s going to sling the ball around and make all his weapons effective and meaningful but he’ll force some rookie decisions and lose to veteran, more talented teams like the Chargers. Their defense still gets ravaged but this team is going to be better sooner than the…
  32. Oakland Raiders – I don’t want to say anything about this.

Dig it.

NFL Week 4 Picks: To London and Back Again

Oops. I swear I had these finished prior to the Giants/Redskins.

The football season continues to pillage and plunder my feeble attempts at understanding or making sense of it. That’s alright. I start my Power Rankings next week (I used to typically begin ranking teams after three weeks but I’ve found that four weeks is a far more sensible starting point) and that means my picks will get much better as I benefit from sorting through these teams in a logical, categorical way.

So let’s just suck at this for another week in the meantime!


Giants at Redskins
Boy, those Giants just love to run a screw through everybody’s happy office pools, huh? Pesky, inconsistent G-Men. What will we get from them this week? Any guesses? Are we going to get accurate passing Eli? Rashad Jennings going to look like the best running back in the NFL for a fourth week? Will they be able to outscore a Redskins team that is putting up points like stupidity? So many questions and no answers. Here’s the thing: this game is being played on Thursday night under the lights and is an interdivision tussle. That works to Tom Coughlin’s boys’ advantage. Eli has a knack in these kinds of games to overcome logic. The Redskins, even with Cousins at the helm, are no Goliath and we know Eli has slain that dude as well (a couple times, actually). And don’t look now but something tells me Cousins is going to be brutal while Eli gives us another reason to pick wrong next week.

Packers at Bears
Another great divisional tilt. Talk about this week being an early round of must-wins for a handful of teams. The Packers desperately need to get back on track because these very Bears seem to be sneaking through games they almost have no business winning but are up on the standings. And who knows if Detroit’s going to run away with the division but they certainly have the pieces in place to do so. Either way, with the way the division sits, both the Bears and the Packers have to take this game very seriously in nearly the same way that the Giants and Redskins need to. And I think Green Bay makes that power move and further muddies the division standings. Eddie Lacy is finally going to find room to run and it will unlock the currently stagnant Packer air attack. Green Bay’s defense was surprisingly stout last week against the Lions albeit in a loss and Chicago’s defense is decimated. Packers should easily outscore the Bears in this one. Emphasis on should.

Titans at Colts
How quickly things are unraveling for the Titans. It appears Wisenhunt is finally giving Sankey the bell but there are too many issues with the Titans right now to blame their ineffective run game for their inability to move the ball. Media darling Justin Hunter who was supposed to take the top off of defenses can’t even find the ball half the time. Not that it’ll matter this week, Jake Locker can barely grip the ball and if he doesn’t go, Charlie Whitehurst can barely throw it. The defense has been torched for two weeks in a row now on the ground and is about to get dosed with plenty of T Rich and Bradshaw. And nevermind that Andrew Luck is heated over his misuse in the first couple games of the season. Oh, the travesty! An incensed Andrew Luck is a pretty bad thing though for middling opponents like the Tennessee Titans. Don’t expect much defense in this one although Indy has a slightly underrated D (did those words come out of my fingertipz?) and should easily win this AFC South barnburner.

Dolphins at Raiders
To London! Like that will make a difference for the Raiders, right? Actually… look, the Raiders have to take em where they can, even if it is on a different continent. Incidentally, there are a ton of Raider fans in England (Menelik Watson grew up a Raider fan, funny enough) and maybe that makes it more of a home game for them than just a wasted home spot on the schedule. Any support would be nice for a team that really has to get up off the mat after getting punked by Houston and then showing up against New England just to walk away dejected after a very shitty, heartbreaking ending to what may have been an OT game and, who knows, maybe a win? Blech. The Dolphins are fading fast and Tannehill, in my mind, shoulders a lot of the blame. The running game, albeit missing Moreno, is there. The receivers, for the most part, are there. The defense looked strong in week 1. But this team just cannot score. Matt Moore is a scary option and I can’t believe they’re even considering it. Then again, how much worse can things get for Miami? They could lose to the Raiders, for starters. Which really is what I expect to happen and not because I’m a homer. The Raiders showed a lot of life last week and should be able to chase the QB all day. Derek Carr is going to have to work hard out there for the Raiders to win any games this year but I have a feeling he steps up this week and gets us in the win column. This will be Oakland’s first win of the season.
Raiders (IE the Dolphins for your Office pool and/or any betting inclinations)

Lions at Jets
The Jets are a depressing case. They really could be sitting at 2-1 right now; they truly did outplay Chicago for most of that game but Geno Smith’s inconsistency and erratic play doomed them from the start when it spotted the Bears 14 points on 6 total yards of offense. Not good, Geno, not good. The sledding doesn’t get easier against the Lions. Their offense is even more explosive than the Bears’ and their defense is way, way better. In fact, that is the one thing that has really impressed me this year with the currently 2-1 Lions; their run defense, which has been good for a couple years now, is climbing into elite status. They have shut down every running back they’ve faced so far including one of the hottest backs in the NFL right now in Rashad Jennings (a paltry 2.9 ypc). Chris Johnson sucks and Chris Ivory, bless his heart, is going to be up against it. And without their run game, on a short week and with a banged up Eric Decker, DOOM looms for Gang Green.

Bucs at Steelers
Two teams moving in completely different directions. The Bucs are the worst team in football even if they look better on paper than the Jags or Raiders or whomever. And they are likely about to stink it up again against the Steelers who are riding high after a STRONG win on the road at Carolina. They shredded one of the better run defenses in the NFL with two 100 yard running backs and the usual Antonio Brown posterizing. The Bucs are mistake prone and that doesn’t bode well against Blitzburgh even if they are decimated on that side of the ball with all the injuries. Let’s face it. There’s almost no way the Bucs win this game. Except if Waleed goes and jinxes it like just now.

Panthers at Ravens
The Panthers are reeling after a tough, tough woopin at home. Not many saw that coming unless of course you’re a Steeler fan or just straight PSYCHIC. The Panthers were gouged on the ground, ripped up in the air and nevermind how whack they looked on offense. They have almost no healthy running backs left, their QB is all beat up and isn’t looking to run (which is bad because that is what makes Cam extremely hard to gameplan against) and their defense just got dumped on. Will they bounce back? No, sadly and as much as I want to pick them, there’s something wrong with Carolina right now and that is a bad place to be in when going against a veteran Harbaugh-led team like the Ravens. They have shown some incredible resilience in the early season with all the bullshit surrounding the team and have let it roll over them like water. Harbaugh is doing the opposite of what his brother is doing in SF and really pulling his team through a very rough spot. They are finding production from the backfield consistently regardless of who it is running the ball. This week’s flavor is Coastal Carolina’s Lorenzo Taliaferro. Steve Smith has turned back the clock (and is going to be fired up against his former team). Their defense is getting it done. The Ravens keep pace with the Bengals and Steelers this week in what has suddenly become a very good AFC North (the Browns are much, much better than you think. The NFL just hates them and took away their best weapon over some bullshit but I’m not getting into all that again).

Bills at Texans
The Bills looked so promising with a strong 2-0 start to the year and then Ej Manuel started to happen. Listen, the Chargers aren’t exactly blowing the doors open on the league or anything and by midseason, they will have regressed back to their expected line. There just was nothing Manuel and the Bills could do right against San Diego’s defense. 10 points. The Texans have a better defense than the Chargers do, too. Houston, also at 2-1, are leading the division and could use a week 4 win to stave off the oncoming offensive juggernaut that is Indy (a near lock to win this week). To do so, they will have to get better play from Fitzpatrick who was exposed last week by a blah defense in the Giants. Arian Foster did not play and that may have factored, strictly speaking, but the offense was too out of sync for them to have won either way. This week, against the much tougher Bills defense, Houston will have to find a way to keep it clean and I believe they will. Ej Manuel just hasn’t taken the next step and is the only thing holding this team back from really making some noise. His corner could be this week or the next one but as soon as he does turn it, the Bills will run away with an AFC East that is waiting for them to take over. For this week, however, the home team plays strong D and ekes out enough offense to secure the game and a 3-1 start to the season.

Jags at Chargers
Well, San Diego’s unlikely start to a hardcore schedule continues this weekend as they get to beat up on the worst team in the NFL. Except watch out because Blake Bortles is no Chad Henne and if he figures things out quickly enough, he could put some points up. Then again, Jacksonville doesn’t have a good running game and Bortles is a rookie which means turnover heaven. Watch the Chargers just bumble this one like they tend to bumble winnable games. Except Norv is gone. Maybe?

Falcons at Vikings
The Falcons have snuck up on everyone. Sure, there were folks talking about how they would bounce back from a dismal 2013 riddled with injuries and score points and yadda yadda, but did anybody see this much balance and panache? They are putting up Tecmo Bowl stat lines and even without a healthy Roddy White (still), they are tearing people apart. Granted, they lost to the Bengals (woopty do, that’s possibly the best team in all of football and it was on the road) and they destroyed a terrible Bucs team but do we even know that anybody else is going to score damn near 60 points against Tampa? The Falcons will continue to stampede teams until they meet a defense that is as grimy as Cincy’s was. Minnesota has a vastly underrated defense but their ineptitude on offense (no thanks in part to Adrian Peterson’s absence and Kyle Rudolph’s devastating injury) is going to, like we have seen so many times with so many teams, render their stout defense ineffective. Pity, too. The Vikes at full strength with Bridgewater under center could have been an exciting play in the NFC North.

Eagles at Niners
A must-win for the Niners? Perhaps. The one thing that is perfectly clear is that the Niners are not themselves until about midseason so they are really going to have to dig deep to survive until then and stay within striking distance of both the division lead and any potential wild card. Yes, they have to start thinking about that now. The Cardinals are trying to run away with the division and the Seahawks, minus their hiccup in SD, aren’t going to lose many games. The Niners need to start winning games and it starts with their horrendous second half play. Unfortunately for them, they get the absolute worst match up given that specific set of circumstances as they draw possibly the BEST second half team in the NFL. The Eagles don’t actually play any first halves, if you look closely. This is a recipe for disaster. And that is why I am picking the Niners! (humans everywhere scratch their heads and wonder). The Niners are in a desperate must-win situation at home where they got blasted in the fourth quarter by Chicago a couple weeks ago. Philly’s offensive line is an infirmary and their defense got shredded by Cousins a week ago. The Niners dig deep and gut out a win and stay in the hunt while the rest of the division sleeps.

Saints at Cowboys
The Saints are in must-win territory, as well. They visit a surprising 2-1 Dallas team with  a miserable 1-2 start and I say miserable because most of their points were scored in the first game of the season and since then they’ve been shut down and sneaked by an out-of-whack Vikings team that can’t beat anybody right now. Not impressed. Now they get a Cowboys team that runs the ball really well, has explosive receivers on both sides of the field and a defense that is playing way over its head. The Saints obviously have the offensive weapons to unleash at any given time but they will have to do it on the road where they have traditionally not been particularly good. Their running game is a bit banged up but from all indications, Khiry Robinson is a useful back. For the Saints, this is must-win territory but I think the slide continues. No bouncing back in Big D for the Saints.

Patriots at Chiefs
Is Tom Brady on the decline? That has to be the pressing question in New England. He isn’t declining to where there needs to be any concern about finding other QBs or anything like that but it would be prudent of the team to strongly consider drafting one next Spring. Just saying. His accuracy is down, his arm strength questionable, his protection a mess. He is getting banged around left and right and can’t find his receivers. There is an unbalanced rushing attack in New England with no clear idea of who is running when and why. Somehow, some way, with the awkward mixture of elements, Belichick finds ways to win and the Patriots are sitting at 2-1 and are about to go 3-1 as the rug gets pulled out from underneath the Chiefs after a strong 34 point effort against Miami last week. New England has played a soft schedule so far and it continues against a Chiefs team that just doesn’t pass the ball very well and has a lot of questions in their backfield. Certainly, the possible return of Jamaal Charles is exciting but he was fairly ineffective prior to his injury and while Knile Davis looks pretty strong, he has fumbilitis. Defensively, the Chiefs are good but not great as they give up a lot on the ground; if New England can establish the run early, it’ll open up Brady-to-Gronk and the Pats will roll. New England doesn’t lose many games in primetime and Monday Night is where guys like Brady shine.

Dig it.

NFL Week 3 Picks: Of Mediocrity and Hilarity

This has to be one of the messiest NFL seasons in forever; it certainly is the most erratic in recent memory (and that includes last year’s record-setting “parity”). This is part grown-man drama, part paradigm shifting social change, part epic injury pandemonium, part fantasy football mayhem. And it oddly mirrors my own personal life in its unbridled chaos which is tastelessly (albeit intriguing) and tragically funny. Or naw.

I was, again, shit awful last week with yet another mediocre, middling 8-8 showing. I have better odds flipping a fucking coin right now.


Bucs at Falcons
The Bucs are one of the trainwrecks of the early season. So much promise, so little translation of it. Lovie Smith was supposed to turn this puppy around and instead, this team looks worse than last year’s edition. Knowing me and my shit luck, this is probably the week they put it all together on the road in primetime against a division rival and win! And yet I’m still going with the Falcons even despite their craptastic run defense and Bobby Rainey being everybody’s darling flavor of the week (or one of them, at any rate). Matty Ice will look to bounce back from last week’s tough match up and should have a monster game at home.

Chargers at Bills
A tough call, actually. One thing you have to understand about the Chargers (and this is coming from very astute observation as a Raider fan) is that this is the one team in the NFL over the past decade that refuses to make any sense to anyone. They are as likely to beat the Seahawks in a fantastic show of offensive fluidity and rigid defensive gameplanning… and then follow it up with a dud on the road in upstate New York. Which is what I’m goin’ with. The Bills are one of the brightest surprises in the early season with an underrated defense, the same ol’ exciting backfield they’ve been rollin’ out there for the past couple years, a passing game that is gaining traction (and a QB that is gaining confidence) and a lot of off-field mojo feeding the momentum. The “Ralph” will be poppin’ and the Bills will ride this into an unexpected 3-0 start. Or they just lose just because and make me look like a tool.

Titans at Bengals
I’d tell you that the Titans are also a team on the uptick except for that stinker they laid at home against the Cowboys. They couldn’t stop anything defensively, through the air or on the ground and Locker looked lost against an overachieving but still pristinely untalented defense. Except for Delanie Walker, he found him ALL DAY. That won’t work with the Bengals defense in Cincinnati. Cincy has looked like possibly the best team in the NFL so far and that running game is so scary explosive with the two headed attack of Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill, you know they’re licking their chops after seeing what DeMarco Murray rattled off against Tennessee. This one’s a lock. Unless you are me, of course.

Ravens at Browns
Exciting that this game is between two rivals coming off huge wins in spite of suspended and/or outright cut superstars. That said, I have been far more impressed by the Browns and that is saying a lot considering how good the Ravens have been. The Browns have an exciting young running game with Terrance West and Isiah Crowell, a QB that is getting settled in and a stout defense. If the Browns can duplicate what they were able to do defensively last week against the far more formidable Saints offense, they’ll be able to easily limit Baltimore enough to overcome their defense with a solid ground game. Oh and it looks like Jordan Cameron is suiting up and that’s gotta be great news to Brian Hoyer. I’m riding the wave.

Packers at Lions
Lots-o-points Part 1. It isn’t so much that these are two awful defenses (because they aren’t awful), it’s just that these two offenses are way more potent than either defense is able to really manage; the one caveat being Detroit’s surprisingly decent run defense which will now be the third straight game that Eddie Lacy won’t factor as much into the result as McCarthy and co. would like. Sure, you’ve still got Aaron Rodgers tossing the rock to any of fifteen good receivers but the lack of balance suggests Detroit is still going to win the game, unfortunately. There’s utterly nothing that indicates that the Packer defense will be able to stop both the air attack of Stafford to Megatron/Starscream/Shockwave and the Bell-n-Bush show on the ground. Slight edge to the home team.

Cowboys at Rams
Well that was nice, Rams nation. Now back to Shaun Hill (probably) and the fail that is the Rams offense. Stacy is holding off the guys in the wings but he is no barn burner and the Cowboys made the Titans offense look ineffective despite much better weapons than this Rams team has. The Rams can play tough defense, sure, but the Cowboys through two games have looked like a very explosive offense that was suffering from a case of the Romos in week 1 but suffering from nothing in week 2. Expect a road win here for the Boys.

Raiders at Patriots
Ok, just shut up. I have nothing. Except that the Raiders suck on the East Coast, suck in general and can’t possibly ruin my prognostication record this week because I’m not going to be an idiot and pick them for the 12th straight year in every match up. This one is going to be a bloodbath. I hope they don’t break our shiny new Carr because I really do like the kid and feel sorry for him to be a part of this mess. OK I really don’t know why I’m still talking.

Vikings at Saints
So the Vikings realized last week that Matt Asiata would be a third stringer on half of the teams in the NFL and that without Adrian Peterson, they look horrible. So they tried to bring AP back… and of course everybody in the world started to hate them for being Purple Baby Eaters. Which then led to them deactivating him AGAIN (Fantasy owners, like myself, hate the Vikings right now btw). Naturally, none of that will matter in a few days. Even with the tragically poor timing of Ingram’s injury (he was having such a nice season), Brees and co. (and Khiry Robinson) is going to unleash the fury of having to lose against the Browns on the Vikings in the Superdome.

Texans at Giants
What was effectively lost in the slaughter that was the Texans and Raiders game was really how much better the Texans look (you can never tell what a team is when they play against the Raiders who will ensure you look GREAT). Their defense is pretty tough (and that’s without Clowney. Wow) and Arian Foster is bringing 2010 back. So is Andre Johnson. And Fitzpatrick is quietly not fucking everything up which is good for the Texans. Also good for the Texans is that they get to play the Giants this week which is probably the only other team not named the Raiders that is completely dysfunctional. They’re so bad, they might make the Texans look like a super bowl contender for yet another week! (aka before they start playing real football teams again). That is, or Eli goes all 2010 and feeds his crybaby wideout buddy Victor “not dancing anymore” Cruz to the tune of 100+ yards and 2 scores. Which if you’re me…………

Redskins at Eagles
How was there ever a doubt that DeSean Jackson would find a way to get on the field for this one. He may not be at 100% but this is one of those few players that elevates when he feels like it and I know he will be FEELING it. Expect whatever Niles Paul was doing last week as Cousins’ go-to to be in the good hands and lightning feet of DJax. And even though Cousins looks considerably better than RG3 and has all those myriad of weapons between Morris and Garcon and Jackson and Paul, the Eagles look like the best offense in all of football. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired but even the Colts and their explosive offense couldn’t outscore these guys in Indy. Even when you slap them with double digit deficits in every game! Chip Kelly is playing dirty by rolling out both Shady McCoy and Sprolesy at the same time. That’s just yuck. It’s like playing Madden for cryin aloud. If the Eagles even pretend to not fall behind early, they will run away with this game by halftime.

Colts at Jags
So the last two victims of Chip Kelly and his flying Eagles meet up this week and my money is going on Luck and company to avenge their rough MNF loss with a pounding of the Jaguars. For a moment the Jags started to look a little more promising than years past when they jumped out to a quick 17-0 lead in week 1 against Philly. But then again, we now know that Philly just doesn’t like playing 1st halves because they must remind them of Andy Reid or Donovan McNabb or something, I don’t know. Since then, the Jags have been destroyed in every possible way. And the Colts and their high flying offense is coming to town to destroy them some more. WOPZ.

Niners at Cardinals
One of this week’s truer toss-ups and what is likely going to be a really fun game to watch. Division rivals playing an early season power grab in a suddenly wide open NFC West thanks to the CHARGAZ. This means one of these teams has a chance to jump into a 2-1 lead or tie in the division while the Seahawks have to mess with an angry hive of bees, nest of hornets, den of bears, or stable of broncos. Or whatever. Anyway. The Niners defense isn’t what it used to be without their vaunted pass rush and with so many dinged corners and that bodes poorly against a talented offense like Arizona’s. Good news for the Niners is that Arizona is also missing a couple of pieces from their offense, chiefly Carson Palmer and Jonathan Dwyer (what is with all these beaters, anyway?). Stanton looked respectable under center (easy to do when your weapons include Fitz, Floyd, Brown and Ellington) and should be alright at home. Defensively, Arizona isn’t as tough as everybody expected them to be coming in due to a rash of injuries but they’re talented enough to get the job done at home against the Niners. The Niners showed last week to have some serious issues closing out games with a defense that might require them to score 30 just to win in the first half of the season. The Niners are definitely most people’s pick in this one but I’m going with the home team in such a coin flip. And also because I don’t really care who wins this game on a personal level. Except for in my office pool. That I do care about.

Chiefs at Dolphins
Another total tosser. Jamaal Charles’ injury poses an interesting quandary. Kniles Davis certainly showed that he is more than capable of running the rock with authority and effectively and Coach Reid has been clear about not intending on changing the game plan because of the injury. But really what does that mean? The Dolphins got pretty smashed on the ground last week but all in all have a tough defense and it may force the Chiefs to rely more on Smith to Bowe and Smith to Kelce. The Chiefs hung tough defensively with the Broncos offense so that is extremely promising but that was also a divisional rivalry and not in the Eastern Time zone.

Broncos at Seahawks
Yes, I know nobody ever beats the Hawks at home. Yes, I know they are coming off a tough loss against the Chargers and they don’t lose back to back games. Yes, I remember last year’s glorious Super Bowl beatdown of the Donks. And because of all of that, I am picking Peyton and the Broncos to avenge themselves. Why? Because I suck at these picks things. That and I know that this date has probably been circled on the calendar (oh the ol’ adage!) since the damn schedules were released and that Denver has gameplanned specifically to adjust to the offensive struggles they had in the Super Bowl. The Broncos retooled their defense and are getting Welker back. The Chargers didn’t “expose” anything but they did show that A) you can beat the Seahawks by mismatching with the TE (and Denver certainly has a good one in JT) and B) control the clock, convert your third downs (the return of Welker should help) and voilà. I totally get how risky this call is. But after going 8-8 in back to back weeks, I’d be a fool to go gunshy on an opportunity like this one. ROLL.

Steelers at Panthers
The Steelers have been one of the more peculiar teams this year. At times, they look fantastic, able to move the ball on the ground with Bell and Big Ben slinging it all over the field between Brown and Wheaton and Miller and Bell. Then there are times when their defense looks like it can be slaughtered on the outsides. Then there are times when the Steelers can’t move the ball or score with regularity, relying on scoring in bunches to carry them… except with that defense, it is beyond folly. On the flip, the Panthers look filthy. Defensively, they may be the best outside of Seattle. With or without Hardy. Cam Newton showed some rust and rookie Benjamin dropped some passes in Week 2 against the Lions but that’s ok because once they start clicking, it’s over. Their run game leaves a lot to be desired as their oft-injured and at times over hyped tandem of Williams and Stewart just can’t ever be on the field consistently. That said, even without Williams, the Panthers offense is starting to get a little more untracked with the emergence of Avant as a reliable second option in the offense and with Cam getting a week of action under his belt. This one is in Carolina and that never bodes well when dealing with that sort of defense.

Bears at Jets
Letdown time for da bears. Great, classic comeback on the road in primetime to spoil San Fran’s big party in Santa Clara. But that’s because SF’s defense is whack these days. The Jets have been quietly a very competitive team. Granted they beat up on a worthless Raider team and gave up a ton of 2nd half points to the Packers but that’s Green Bay and keeping them in check all game is damn near impossible. Is the Bears offense capable of the same thing? Absolutely. In New York? Meh. The Bears might not be so lucky to face a defense capable of giving up that much real estate late in the game as did the Niners. The Jets can hardly be run on which means this is going to have to lie in Cutler’s hands and things are usually not ok when that is the case. Marshall and Jeffrey are a bit banged up and the Jets are physical. Offensively, I expect the Jets to run, run, run and don’t look now but Geno Smith is starting to get more and more comfortable back there and may just be enough of a game manager to win these kinds of games. The AFC East is about to get interesting!


#FreeJoshGordon and the NFL’s 0-16 Season

The circus carries on.

I will spare you the long story that you most likely already know and summarize it as succinctly as I can as thus: Gordon, who marginally failed a drug test on March 5th 2014, was suspended due to it being the third violation of the old NFL drug policy that is now under revision between the NFL and the NFLPA. And now, there are reports that he will be suspended for 10 games under the new drug policy if it is agreed upon.

Which, of course, is completely asinine.

The trouble with the NFL this season is that it has shown an absolute lack of reason and consistency in its policies across the board. Whether it is the fiasco that is the Ray Rice domestic violence case or the flip flopping drug policy, the NFL has been a PR trainwreck losing public opinion in droves. The brand is an arrogant one; their product is the object of such abject obsession and addiction, they know there is no conceivable amount of public backlash that can hurt their bottom line. Even a one week boycott by every football fan across the United States would accomplish nothing outside of ruining the worlds of the already underpaid support staffs of any of the bloated pro teams. It would do nothing to exact the sort of paradigm shift in the league’s operation that most activism aims to do.

This news that the new drug policy agreement will reduce Gordon’s suspension to ten games, though, is a whole new level of fail. In fact, everybody was better off if they would have simply left the suspension at the full 16 games.

Let me be perfectly clear about something. The NFL didn’t even so much as blink at the public criticism they were receiving at the announcement of Josh Gordon’s initial suspension for the whole season when it first hit. The hate being heaped on the shield about how incongruent the suspension was to the crime as juxtaposed to Rice’s initial suspension was to his, didn’t phase the league. They even dragged their feet for an unusually long time in exacting the suspension and, in fact, didn’t announce it until a day after cuts were announced effectively double screwing the Browns!

However, it wasn’t until Wes Welker was busted with the mystery molly and suspended for four games that the league suddenly was spurned into motion, quickly acting to downgrade amphetamines from the PED list to a recreation drug and under that policy, overturn his suspension altogether as it was a first time offense. There are undoubtedly those who will pull the race card here but I won’t do any such thing; I will, however, happily pull the Peyton Card as there shouldn’t be any doubt that the NFL cares mostly about their revenue than they do about just anything else including women rights/safety, animal rights, or concussions (don’t fall for their flaccid attempts at solving the concussion matter, either. They are so far behind schedule on that, it isn’t even funny. Go read up on it and you’ll see what I mean). Oh but no, no, no… when it was Tom and Peyton’s boy Wes Weezy that was in hot water, the NFL came to his aid quite quickly.

Nevermind that amphetamines can actually be argued to enhance performance (Adderall anyone?) whereas Cannaboids can never do such a thing lol. I mean, it is obvious that Josh Gordon only ever recreationally smoked Marijuana. It is also equally obvious that he wouldn’t have been smoking during the season as nobody with half a cent of common sense would believe that a pro athlete could habitually smoke it and still be any good at their sport. Sure you can play and maybe even play well; but dominate the NFL at your position while effortlessly displaying physical gifts that indicate that your body is about as free of the toxins and laden effects of prolonged Marijuana use as anyone can be? Is Josh Gordon superhuman? No, of course he is not. Maybe if he was popping adderalls.

I understand why Welker’s suspension is going to get wiped out completely and why Gordon’s isn’t. It’s the letter of the law; a three-strikes law, no less, that has been lambasted everywhere it has ever been implemented due to its inherent inability to discern between severity of offenses. In other words, the way the recreational drug policy works before as well as moving forward is that Gordon could have easily been stoned stupid and tested ten times over the limit, even smoking before games and doing all sorts of other inane behaviors and get away without a single lost snap. And then on this exact same offense, be lost for an entire year on a 0.16ng positive (and a negative from the same sample) test three years later after passing 75 tests over that span of time. Makes sense if you look at it strictly from the perspective of the letter of the law; and makes utterly no sense outside of it.

That brings me to the reported ten game suspension. That’s simply stupid. In this case, the suspension should have either been completely tossed out (given the first two games of the season could be considered an on-good-faith time served) or the suspension upheld as a strict adhering to the letter of the law. But this ten game nonsense is entirely nearsighted and proof that they have idiots working in the league communications offices. Ten games does nothing for nobody.

Not for Josh Gordon. He still misses most of the season for something as silly as second hand smoke, a story that is truly corroborated by how ridiculously low the test result was (you can get more stoned looking at some “fire”).

Not for the Cleveland Browns. Sure it beats not having him for a whole season but this only has any kind of relevance if the Browns are anywhere near the playoff picture come week 12, where his involvement, albeit with limited chemistry and gameflow, doesn’t necessarily mean it helps them accomplish anything in 2013. What’s four more wins when you enter Week 12 bringing up the rear of the division?

Not for Fantasy Football owners across the nation. But who cares about them (us)? There are clearly far more significant issues at hand.

Not for the NFL. This makes them look like tone-deaf, hard headed troglodytes. They missed the entire point of revising the policy. Unless of course the point was to get Welker back on the field by downgrading Amphetamines to a recreational drug lol. And even then, the awkwardly arbitrary March 11th date for the NFL “year” is another slap to the face of reason. If Gordon’s test was so stupidly close to that date (a single work week), why not consider it a 2014 test? Why be such myopic sticklers?

I know, I know, the letter of the law. Policies and rules. But under that same logic, Ray Rice shouldn’t be banned from the NFL at all because this would be considered his first offense of domestic violence and warrants only the new six game suspension which is at least better than the two game suspension that preceded it but is still less than reasonable (there should be a zero tolerance policy on domestic violence). So Ray Rice should be back by week 7 and some other team should be able to pick him up. He didn’t lie about knocking his fiancee unconscious. He is a vile person, perhaps, but according to the NFL’s precious letter of the law argument, he should be back in time for the second half of the season.

Can’t say the same about Josh Gordon. After all, he has pot-smoking friends and is badmen.

There’s more. Yes, there is ever more in this 2014 NFL season, one that will undoubtedly go down in history as one of the most terribly distracted of any sport ever.

Just moments ago, Adrian Peterson was indicted for negligent injury of a child (spanked his son with a switch) and may also face a suspension although it has yet to be announced one way or another. Now the NFL will undoubtedly roll out its brand spankin’ new domestic violence policy on AP and probably on Carolina Panthers’ DE Greg Hardy soon enough in hopes of winning back some public support. But will it have been too late? Peterson faces a 2 to 10 year PRISON sentence and may never play NFL Football again. And you thought folks were all up in arms about Mike Vick fightin’ dogs…

Truth is, the league (and sport at large) has a black eye (no pun intended). This isn’t MLB’s steroid black eye where some clown somewhere convinced the public that steroids actually made you a better ballplayer somehow. This isn’t the NBA’s corrupt refereeing and point-shaving. This is the most violent sport on earth showing that it not only puts young men in danger of life-long battles with terrible brain injuries but also breeds a whole host of violent, aggressive and physically imposing men who can hurt others. Now before this becomes a debate on Adrian Peterson’s specific situation in terms of child-rearing and discipline (because lord knows, that’s an entirely different blog post altogether), let’s just focus on what the real issue here is:

The NFL doesn’t really know where it stands on ANYTHING. They are just as likely to suspend him for six games as per the new policy as they are to not suspend him at all because of some legal loophole or other that distinguishes between physical assault and child discipline. Not saying there is one but why put anything beyond the NFL? In the end, as they’ve shown repeatedly throughout Goodell’s tenure as Commish, the league only really cares about its revenue and Goods has been as much a pawn of it as any of us. The league doesn’t want to lose Adrian Peterson anymore than they wanted to lose concussion-ridden Welker or Josh “Up in Smoke” Gordon.


In the end, the NFL has demonstrated exactly how you don’t manage crisis as an organization or entity. This stuff is Public Relations 101 and the NFL does not employ good PR people which is counter intuitive because you would assume they would have the very best. Maybe they’re just having a bad season, something akin to the supreme meltdown that was last year’s Houston Texans when nearly every thing went wrong. Perhaps, the NFL after a relatively strong franchise history is having that one season it wants to forget. Except it will never be forgotten because none of us will forget it.

All the league had to do was let Gordon back right away and they could have at least earned some respect back from the mass of people who realize that Marijuana smoking is not as terrible as beating our wives and children or getting in club altercations or doing heavy drugs… but whose money they gladly take without hesitation.

Instead, they’ve taken another terrible loss and look well on their way to a miserable, winless season.